Erik Kusch, PhD Student

Department of Biology

Section for Ecoinformatics & Biodiversity

Center for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World (BIOCHANGE)

Aarhus University

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 1

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 2

Binomial Regression Poisson Regression

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 3

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 4

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 5

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 6

Prior predictive checks are important! Regularising priors help our models!

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 7

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 8

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 9

Priors are meant to inform the model, not fit the data. Identifying priors from the data is usually a bad idea.

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 10

Add a variable to account for length/size of time/distance unit.

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 11

Models informed by scientific theory can

be (and often are) just as valid, if not

better, than our purely statistic models.

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 12

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 13

19/03/2021

[Study Group] Bayesian Statistics with the Rethinking Material 14